Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.43)
0.94 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.8% | 35.0% | 41.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.7%
0 - 1
19.4%
1 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heraclea | 0 | 20.7% | 19.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heraclea | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 43% | 43% |
| Defense | 57% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heraclea | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 75% | 57% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 67% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Heraclea: WWLDLWW • Nardò: LLDWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Heraclea | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heraclea | Nardò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 57% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heraclea | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heraclea | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heraclea | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heraclea | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nardò and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heraclea = 0.64 (league 1.43), Nardò = 0.94 (league 0.97)
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heraclea | 0 | 20.7% | 19.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 35.0% · Away win 41.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1