Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Giovanni Paolo II
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.57)
1.93 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | 18.9% | 72.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.5%
0 - 2
17.9%
0 - 3
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Heraclea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Francavilla | 0 | 9.6% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 40% | 80% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Virtus Francavilla: DWDLWDLD • Heraclea: WWLDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Virtus Francavilla | Heraclea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 88% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 25% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Heraclea
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Virtus Francavilla = 0.41 (league 1.57), Heraclea = 1.93 (league 1.01)
| Heraclea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Francavilla | 0 | 9.6% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.0% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 72.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1