Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Stadio Degli Ulivi
Expected Goals
2.52 (league 1.49)
0.26 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.2% | 11.0% | 2.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
19.7%
3 - 0
16.6%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fidelis Andria | 0 | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.7% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.6% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 90% | 50% |
| Defense | 40% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Fidelis Andria: WDWDWLWL • Nardò: LLDWLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fidelis Andria | Nardò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 75% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 13% | 13% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 64.3% | 35.7% |
Advice: Winner : Fidelis Andria
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fidelis Andria = 2.52 (league 1.49), Nardò = 0.26 (league 0.96)
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fidelis Andria | 0 | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.7% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.6% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.2% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 2.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1