Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Cosimo Puttilli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.49) 0.47 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 42.2% 21.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.1%
1 - 0
21.8%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Paganese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barletta 0 31.1% 14.6% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 10.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarlettaPaganese
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack88%100%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barletta Paganese
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%50%75%63%
Draws50%25%38%25%0%13%
Loses0%50%25%25%25%25%

Form: Barletta: DDLDWWWL • Paganese: WLLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Barletta Paganese
HATHAT
GF total56114610
GF avg1.31.51.41.01.51.3
GA total178336
GA avg0.31.81.00.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarlettaPaganese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%75%75%
1.538%38%38%0%
2.513%13%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarlettaPaganese
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricBarlettaPaganese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBarlettaPaganese
Wins32
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-11-3
Biggest losses—3-20-11-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against1311

Model comparison

MetricBarlettaPaganese
Form43%57%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Paganese and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barletta = 0.70 (league 1.49), Paganese = 0.47 (league 0.96)

Paganese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barletta 0 31.1% 14.6% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 10.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 42.2% · Away win 21.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1