Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Felice Squitieri
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.57)
1.19 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | 31.4% | 55.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
24.1%
0 - 0
20.3%
0 - 2
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Città di Fasano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarnese | 0 | 20.3% | 24.1% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sarnese | Città di Fasano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 73% |
| Attack | 50% | 90% |
| Defense | 0% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sarnese | Città di Fasano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 75% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Sarnese: DWWLLLDL • Città di Fasano: WWWWDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Sarnese | Città di Fasano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sarnese | Città di Fasano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 63% | 63% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sarnese | Città di Fasano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sarnese | Città di Fasano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sarnese | Città di Fasano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sarnese | Città di Fasano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 8% | 92% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 24.8% | 75.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Città di Fasano
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sarnese = 0.41 (league 1.57), Città di Fasano = 1.19 (league 1.01)
| Città di Fasano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarnese | 0 | 20.3% | 24.1% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.7% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 55.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1