Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 14:30 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Paolo II
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.49)
0.68 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6% | 17.9% | 10.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 0
12.5%
3 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Acerrana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nardò | 0 | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nardò | Real Acerrana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 7% |
| Attack | 18% | 14% |
| Defense | 77% | 32% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nardò | Real Acerrana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 25% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 40% | 44% | 60% | 75% | 67% |
Form: Nardò: LLDWLDWLD • Real Acerrana: LDDLDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Nardò | Real Acerrana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nardò | Real Acerrana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 67% | 44% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 44% | 11% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nardò | Real Acerrana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nardò | Real Acerrana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nardò | Real Acerrana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nardò | Real Acerrana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Nardò or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nardò = 2.19 (league 1.49), Real Acerrana = 0.68 (league 0.96)
| Real Acerrana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nardò | 0 | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 10.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1