Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Luigi Moccia
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.43)
1.24 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.1% | 20.8% | 21.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Ferrandina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afragolese | 0 | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Afragolese | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 44% |
| Defense | 22% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Afragolese | Ferrandina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 40% | 56% | 60% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 100% | 56% |
Form: Afragolese: LLDWWWLWW • Ferrandina: LDLWLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Afragolese | Ferrandina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Afragolese | Ferrandina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 56% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 56% | 22% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 22% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Afragolese | Ferrandina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Afragolese | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Afragolese | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-4 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Afragolese | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.7% |
Advice: Winner : Afragolese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Afragolese = 2.10 (league 1.43), Ferrandina = 1.24 (league 0.97)
| Ferrandina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afragolese | 0 | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.1% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 21.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1