Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino
Expected Goals
2.62 (league 1.43)
1.86 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 18.3% | 25.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.7%
3 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Sarnese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gravina | 0 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gravina | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 13% |
| Attack | 54% | 31% |
| Defense | 62% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gravina | Sarnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 33% | 60% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 75% | 44% |
Form: Gravina: LLDDLWWDW • Sarnese: DWWLLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Gravina | Sarnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gravina | Sarnese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 67% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 33% | 33% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 22% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gravina | Sarnese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gravina | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gravina | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gravina | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Gravina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gravina = 2.62 (league 1.43), Sarnese = 1.86 (league 0.97)
| Sarnese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gravina | 0 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 25.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1