Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 18:00 • Stadio Marcello Torre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.43) 1.07 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 29.8% 35.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Manfredonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 12.0% 12.8% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.6% 7.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaganeseManfredonia
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack50%25%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paganese Manfredonia
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%60%56%40%25%33%
Draws25%20%22%20%25%22%
Loses25%20%22%40%50%44%

Form: Paganese: WLLWWDWWD • Manfredonia: LLDWLLWWD

League goals

Metric Paganese Manfredonia
HATHAT
GF total47117512
GF avg1.01.41.21.41.31.3
GA total3478614
GA avg0.80.80.81.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaganeseManfredonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%67%67%
1.533%0%44%44%
2.511%0%11%22%
3.50%0%11%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaganeseManfredonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricPaganeseManfredonia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPaganeseManfredonia
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-21-2
Biggest losses0-11-02-53-2
Goals For2342
Goals Against1153

Model comparison

MetricPaganeseManfredonia
Form61%39%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Paganese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paganese = 1.05 (league 1.43), Manfredonia = 1.07 (league 0.97)

Manfredonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 12.0% 12.8% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.6% 7.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 35.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1