Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Gian Domenico Tursi
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.49)
0.29 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.5% | 43.3% | 13.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
35.2%
1 - 0
26.5%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Paganese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Martina Franca | 0 | 35.2% | 10.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.5% | 7.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Martina Franca | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 25% | 50% |
| Defense | 83% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Martina Franca | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Form: Martina Franca: WWDDWWLWLD • Paganese: WLLWWDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Martina Franca | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Martina Franca | Paganese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 50% | 80% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 0% | 30% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Martina Franca | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Martina Franca | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Martina Franca | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Martina Franca | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Martina Franca or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Martina Franca = 0.75 (league 1.49), Paganese = 0.29 (league 0.96)
| Paganese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Martina Franca | 0 | 35.2% | 10.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.5% | 7.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 43.3% · Away win 13.2%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1