Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Marcello Torre
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.43)
0.25 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.0% | 29.6% | 7.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.9%
0 - 0
22.2%
2 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ferrandina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paganese | 0 | 22.2% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.9% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paganese | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 27% |
| Attack | 75% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paganese | Ferrandina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 67% | 64% | 50% | 0% | 27% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 20% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 100% | 55% |
Form: Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWW • Ferrandina: LDLWLWLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Paganese | Ferrandina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paganese | Ferrandina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 64% | 55% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 0% | 27% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paganese | Ferrandina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paganese | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paganese | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paganese | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76% | 24% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 73.8% | 26.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Paganese or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paganese = 1.26 (league 1.43), Ferrandina = 0.25 (league 0.97)
| Ferrandina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paganese | 0 | 22.2% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.9% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 7.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1