Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.43)
0.41 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.5% | 47.1% | 21.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
37.8%
1 - 0
21.2%
0 - 1
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Francavilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heraclea | 0 | 37.8% | 15.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heraclea | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 20% |
| Attack | 55% | 36% |
| Defense | 91% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
50%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heraclea | Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 83% | 64% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
| Loses | 40% | 0% | 18% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
Form: Heraclea: WWLDLWWWWDW • Francavilla: WDWDLLLDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Heraclea | Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heraclea | Francavilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 45% | 55% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 9% | 27% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heraclea | Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heraclea | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heraclea | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heraclea | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 81% | 19% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 71.3% | 28.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Heraclea or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heraclea = 0.56 (league 1.43), Francavilla = 0.41 (league 0.97)
| Francavilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heraclea | 0 | 37.8% | 15.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 47.1% · Away win 21.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1