Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Luigi Moccia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.49) 1.33 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.9% 26.8% 39.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Martina Franca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afragolese 0 8.1% 10.8% 7.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.6% 12.7% 8.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.7% 7.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAfragoleseMartina Franca
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack100%25%
Defense0%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Afragolese Martina Franca
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%33%55%50%40%45%
Draws0%17%9%33%20%27%
Loses20%50%36%17%40%27%

Form: Afragolese: LLDWWWLWWWL • Martina Franca: WWDDWWLWLDL

League goals

Metric Afragolese Martina Franca
HATHAT
GF total1110217411
GF avg2.21.71.91.20.81.0
GA total81018246
GA avg1.61.71.60.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAfragoleseMartina Franca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%64%55%
1.564%64%27%0%
2.536%18%9%0%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAfragoleseMartina Franca
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricAfragoleseMartina Franca
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAfragoleseMartina Franca
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-43-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-00-11-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against3311

Model comparison

MetricAfragoleseMartina Franca
Form69%31%
Att85%15%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total64.5%35.5%

Advice: Double chance : Afragolese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.01 @ 1xBet
Draw3.48 @ Marathonbet
Away1.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.87 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Superbet
No1.97 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Afragolese = 1.18 (league 1.49), Martina Franca = 1.33 (league 0.96)

Martina Franca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afragolese 0 8.1% 10.8% 7.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.6% 12.7% 8.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.7% 7.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 39.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1