Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Miramare
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.40)
1.74 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9% | 20.3% | 73.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.6%
0 - 2
20.5%
0 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Heraclea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manfredonia | 0 | 13.5% | 23.6% | 20.5% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manfredonia | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 40% | 100% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manfredonia | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 17% | 25% | 33% | 83% | 58% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Manfredonia: LLDWLLWWDLDD • Heraclea: WWLDLWWWWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Manfredonia | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manfredonia | Heraclea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 58% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 17% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 17% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manfredonia | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manfredonia | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manfredonia | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-2 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manfredonia | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 32.6% | 67.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Heraclea and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manfredonia = 0.26 (league 1.40), Heraclea = 1.74 (league 0.97)
| Heraclea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manfredonia | 0 | 13.5% | 23.6% | 20.5% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 73.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1