Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Felice Squitieri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.40) 0.25 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 26.5% 6.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.9%
0 - 0
19.2%
2 - 0
18.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Acerrana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarnese 0 19.2% 4.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 6.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 4.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarneseReal Acerrana
Played55
Form13%0%
Attack100%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.20 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.416 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarnese Real Acerrana
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%17%17%0%0%0%
Draws50%17%33%33%17%25%
Loses33%67%50%67%83%75%

Form: Sarnese: DWWLLLDLDLLD • Real Acerrana: LDDLDLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Sarnese Real Acerrana
HATHAT
GF total41115325
GF avg0.71.81.30.50.30.4
GA total51823101727
GA avg0.83.01.91.72.82.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarneseReal Acerrana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%33%100%
1.533%58%8%50%
2.517%25%0%42%
3.50%17%0%33%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarneseReal Acerrana
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score303448

Penalties

MetricSarneseReal Acerrana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSarneseReal Acerrana
Wins20
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-3——
Biggest losses1-25-10-44-0
Goals For2321
Goals Against2544

Model comparison

MetricSarneseReal Acerrana
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sarnese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarnese = 1.40 (league 1.40), Real Acerrana = 0.25 (league 0.96)

Real Acerrana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarnese 0 19.2% 4.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 6.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 4.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 6.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1