Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.40) 0.25 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.1% 17.4% 4.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.8%
2 - 0
21.1%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ferrandina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gravina 0 11.3% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.8% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.1% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGravinaFerrandina
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack86%43%
Defense29%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gravina Ferrandina
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%43%0%23%
Draws50%14%31%43%17%31%
Loses17%57%38%14%83%46%

Form: Gravina: LLDDLWWDWWLDL • Ferrandina: LDLWLWLLWLDDD

League goals

Metric Gravina Ferrandina
HATHAT
GF total11516729
GF avg1.80.71.21.00.30.7
GA total512175914
GA avg0.81.71.30.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGravinaFerrandina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%46%69%
1.515%31%23%31%
2.515%23%0%8%
3.515%8%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGravinaFerrandina
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score224257

Penalties

MetricGravinaFerrandina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGravinaFerrandina
Wins21
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-12-1—
Biggest losses1-24-11-22-0
Goals For5122
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricGravinaFerrandina
Form54%46%
Att67%33%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.5%38.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gravina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away4.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Marathonbet
No1.76 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gravina = 1.93 (league 1.40), Ferrandina = 0.25 (league 0.96)

Ferrandina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gravina 0 11.3% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.8% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.1% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 4.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1