Afragolese vs Paganese

Serie D - Girone H — Italy

Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Luigi Moccia

Match Finished

Afragolese

2 - 0

Paganese

Expected Goals

1.00 (league 1.40) 1.76 (league 0.96)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
21.3%	23.4%	54.2%

best score tips

1 - 1

11.1%

0 - 1

11.1%

1 - 2

9.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Paganese
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Afragolese	0	6.3%	11.1%	9.8%	5.7%	2.5%	0.9%
	1	6.3%	11.1%	9.8%	5.7%	2.5%	0.9%
	2	3.2%	5.6%	4.9%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%
	3	1.1%	1.9%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Afragolese	Paganese
Played	5	5
Form	67%	73%
Attack	100%	57%
Defense	43%	86%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	1 \| 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%

FT probability

2.5+

50%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

69%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Afragolese			Paganese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	7	13	7	6	13
Wins	83%	29%	54%	57%	67%	62%
Draws	0%	29%	15%	29%	17%	23%
Loses	17%	43%	31%	14%	17%	15%

Form: Afragolese: LLDWWWLWWWLWD • Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWWDW

League goals

Metric	Afragolese			Paganese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	12	10	22	6	8	14
GF avg	2.0	1.4	1.7	0.9	1.3	1.1
GA total	8	10	18	3	4	7
GA avg	1.3	1.4	1.4	0.4	0.7	0.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Afragolese		Paganese
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	77%	69%	77%	54%
1.5	54%	54%	23%	0%
2.5	31%	15%	8%	0%
3.5	8%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Afragolese			Paganese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	2	4	4	2	6
Failed to score	0	3	3	2	1	3

Penalties

Metric	Afragolese	Paganese
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	Afragolese	Paganese
Wins	3	2
Draws	1	1
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-2	0-4	2-1	1-3
Biggest losses	2-3	3-0	0-1	1-0
Goals For	3	4	2	3
Goals Against	3	3	1	1

Model comparison

Metric	Afragolese	Paganese
Form	48%	52%
Att	69%	31%
Def	20%	80%
Poisson Distribution	34%	66%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	42.8%	57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paganese

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Betano

Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet

Away2.40 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Marathonbet

No1.91 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-11-30T12:01:07+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.66
Draw	3.12
Away	2.40

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.04
Draw	2.32
Away	2.75

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.90
Away -1	1.11
Home -0.75	3.28
Away -0.75	1.25
Home -0.25	2.26
Away -0.25	1.51
Home +0	1.93
Away +0	1.75
Home +0.25	1.63
Away +0.25	2.03
Home +0.75	1.32
Away +0.75	2.88
Home +1	1.16
Away +1	4.15
Home -1.5	5.95
Away -1.5	1.07
Home +1.25	1.12
Away +1.25	4.65
Home +1.5	1.10
Away +1.5	5.15

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.29
Under 1.5	3.04
Over 1.75	1.37
Under 1.75	2.66
Over 2.0	1.50
Under 2.0	2.28
Over 2.25	1.74
Under 2.25	1.89
Over 2.5	2.01
Under 2.5	1.70
Over 2.75	2.28
Under 2.75	1.50
Over 3.5	3.58
Under 3.5	1.21
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	7.40
Over 1.25	1.16
Under 1.25	4.15
Over 3.0	2.88
Under 3.0	1.32
Over 3.25	3.20
Under 3.25	1.26
Over 4.0	6.50
Under 4.0	1.05

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.92
Under 1.5	1.32
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.63
Over 1.0	1.95
Under 1.0	1.74

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.22
Under 1.5	1.57
Over 2.0	3.94
Under 2.0	1.18
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.39

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.76
No	1.88

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.95
Away -1	1.36
Draw -1	4.30
Home +1	1.44
Draw +1	4.05
Away +1	5.15

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.44
Home/Away	1.27
Draw/Away	1.36

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.38
Draw	1.99
Away	3.08

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	2.05
Draw	9.00
Away	1.91

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	2.04
Draw	9.00
Away	1.92

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.64
Under 1.5	1.40
Over 1	1.73
Under 1	1.97
Over 2	5.45
Under 2	1.09

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.45
Under 1.5	1.46
Over 1	1.61
Under 1	2.15
Over 2	4.75
Under 2	1.12

1xBet Updated: 2025-11-30T12:01:07+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.66
Draw	3.12
Away	2.40

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.04
Draw	2.32
Away	2.75

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.90
Away -1	1.11
Home -0.75	3.28
Away -0.75	1.25
Home -0.25	2.26
Away -0.25	1.51
Home +0	1.93
Away +0	1.75
Home +0.25	1.63
Away +0.25	2.03
Home +0.75	1.32
Away +0.75	2.88
Home +1	1.16
Away +1	4.15
Home -1.5	5.95
Away -1.5	1.07
Home +1.25	1.12
Away +1.25	4.65
Home +1.5	1.10
Away +1.5	5.15
Home +2.5	1.02
Away +2.5	10.50

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.29
Under 1.5	3.04
Over 1.75	1.37
Under 1.75	2.66
Over 2.0	1.50
Under 2.0	2.28
Over 2.25	1.74
Under 2.25	1.89
Over 2.5	2.01
Under 2.5	1.70
Over 2.75	2.28
Under 2.75	1.50
Over 3.5	3.58
Under 3.5	1.21
Over 0.5	1.03
Under 0.5	7.80
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	7.40
Over 1.25	1.16
Under 1.25	4.15
Over 3.0	2.88
Under 3.0	1.32
Over 4.5	6.80
Under 4.5	1.07
Over 3.25	3.20
Under 3.25	1.26
Over 4.0	6.50
Under 4.0	1.05
Over 5.5	10.00
Under 5.5	1.02

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.92
Under 1.5	1.32
Over 2.5	7.40
Under 2.5	1.06
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.63
Over 0.75	1.57
Under 0.75	2.19
Over 1.0	1.95
Under 1.0	1.74
Over 1.25	2.48
Under 1.25	1.45

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.22
Under 1.5	1.57
Over 1.75	2.71
Under 1.75	1.38
Over 2.0	3.94
Under 2.0	1.18
Over 2.5	4.90
Under 2.5	1.14
Over 0.5	1.25
Under 0.5	3.60
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.39
Over 1.25	1.84
Under 1.25	1.82

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.00
Home/Away	27.00
Draw/Away	6.00
Draw/Draw	4.50
Home/Home	4.50
Draw/Home	6.50
Away/Home	30.00
Away/Draw	16.00
Away/Away	4.00

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.76
No	1.91

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	8.50
2:0	13.00
2:1	11.00
3:0	29.00
3:1	23.00
3:2	35.00
4:0	70.00
4:1	60.00
0:0	8.00
1:1	6.50
2:2	16.00
0:1	8.00
0:2	12.00
0:3	25.00
1:2	10.00
1:3	21.00
2:3	30.00
3:3	60.00
0:4	60.00
1:4	50.00
2:4	70.00
4:2	80.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.34
1st Half	3.04
2nd Half	2.03

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.44
Home/Away	1.27
Draw/Away	1.36

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.38
Draw	1.99
Away	3.08

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.65
Under 1.5	1.43
Over 2.5	6.10
Under 2.5	1.09
Over 1	1.72
Under 1	2.00
Over 2	5.00
Under 2	1.14
Over 0.5	1.35
Under 0.5	2.95

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.40
Under 1.5	1.50
Over 2.5	5.60
Under 2.5	1.11
Over 1	1.55
Under 1	2.25
Over 2	4.60
Under 2	1.16
Over 0.5	1.30
Under 0.5	3.25

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.63
Away -0.25	1.39
Home +0	1.90
Away +0	1.75
Home +0.25	1.46
Away +0.25	2.41
Home +1	1.01
Away +1	8.80

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.26
Home/Away	1.62
Draw/Away	1.21

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.32
Home/Away	1.45
Draw/Away	1.26

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.65
No	1.14

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.42
No	1.25

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.84
Even	1.80

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.04
Even	1.64

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.97
Even	1.69

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.95
Even	1.71

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.46
Away -0.25	1.44
Home +0	1.90
Away +0	1.75
Home +0.25	1.52
Away +0.25	2.27
Home +1	1.05
Away +1	6.60

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.18
Under 0.5	1.56

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.09
Under 0.5	1.61

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.83
Under 0.5	1.81

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.77
Under 0.5	1.87

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.93
Even	1.72

Betano Updated: 2025-11-30T12:01:07+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.67
Draw	3.10
Away	2.40

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.90
Away	1.72

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.00
Draw	2.35
Away	2.72

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.25	1.78
Under 2.25	1.87
Over 2.5	1.98
Under 2.5	1.65

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.42
Under 0.5	2.35
Over 1.0	1.95
Under 1.0	1.62

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.50
Home/Away	29.00
Draw/Away	5.50
Draw/Draw	4.55
Home/Home	4.55
Draw/Home	5.90
Away/Home	35.00
Away/Draw	14.00
Away/Away	4.00

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.40
2:0	10.00
2:1	7.60
3:0	21.00
3:1	16.00
3:2	22.00
4:0	55.00
4:1	45.00
0:0	8.50
1:1	4.90
2:2	10.50
0:1	5.90
0:2	8.50
0:3	17.50
1:2	7.30
1:3	15.00
2:3	22.00
3:3	45.00
0:4	45.00
1:4	37.00
2:4	55.00
4:2	60.00
0:5	150.00
1:5	120.00
1:6	400.00
2:5	175.00
3:4	110.00
5:0	175.00
5:1	150.00
5:2	150.00
4:3	110.00
3:5	350.00
5:3	350.00
4:4	300.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.15
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.98

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.50
2:0	9.25
2:1	14.00
3:0	32.00
3:1	50.00
3:2	120.00
4:0	150.00
4:1	200.00
0:0	2.35
1:1	5.20
2:2	35.00
0:1	3.30
0:2	8.50
0:3	30.00
1:2	13.50
1:3	50.00
2:3	120.00
0:4	120.00
1:4	200.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.45
Home/Away	1.30
Draw/Away	1.38

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.30
Draw	1.98
Away	3.10

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.31
Home/Away	1.65
Draw/Away	1.28

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.85
Away	1.72

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.87
Away	1.70

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Afragolese vs Paganese

Expected goals (λ): Afragolese = 1.00 (league 1.40), Paganese = 1.76 (league 0.96)

		Paganese
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Afragolese	0	6.3%	11.1%	9.8%	5.7%	2.5%	0.9%
	1	6.3%	11.1%	9.8%	5.7%	2.5%	0.9%
	2	3.2%	5.6%	4.9%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%
	3	1.1%	1.9%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.3% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 54.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Afragolese	Paganese
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2