Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 15:00 • Stadio Degli Ulivi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.49) 0.78 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.9% 16.3% 10.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 0
9.9%
3 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fidelis Andria 0 4.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.9% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.8% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFidelis AndriaVirtus Francavilla
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack80%100%
Defense60%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fidelis Andria Virtus Francavilla
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins83%14%46%29%17%23%
Draws17%57%38%43%33%38%
Loses0%29%15%29%50%38%

Form: Fidelis Andria: WDWDWLWLDDWWD • Virtus Francavilla: DWDLWDLDLLWLD

League goals

Metric Fidelis Andria Virtus Francavilla
HATHAT
GF total125178917
GF avg2.00.71.31.11.51.3
GA total36961117
GA avg0.50.90.70.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFidelis AndriaVirtus Francavilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%62%62%77%
1.531%8%38%38%
2.515%0%15%15%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFidelis AndriaVirtus Francavilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets325213
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricFidelis AndriaVirtus Francavilla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricFidelis AndriaVirtus Francavilla
Wins21
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-13-02-5
Biggest losses—2-10-13-0
Goals For4135
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricFidelis AndriaVirtus Francavilla
Form69%31%
Att44%56%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Fidelis Andria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away4.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fidelis Andria = 2.42 (league 1.49), Virtus Francavilla = 0.78 (league 0.96)

Virtus Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fidelis Andria 0 4.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.9% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.8% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.9% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 10.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1