Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Felice Squitieri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.43) 0.65 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 35.9% 25.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.6%
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fidelis Andria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarnese 0 21.6% 14.1% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.4% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarneseFidelis Andria
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack100%83%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarnese Fidelis Andria
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%71%14%43%
Draws43%29%36%14%57%36%
Loses29%57%43%14%29%21%

Form: Sarnese: DWWLLLDLDLLDWD • Fidelis Andria: WDWDWLWLDDWWDL

League goals

Metric Sarnese Fidelis Andria
HATHAT
GF total10122213518
GF avg1.41.71.61.90.71.3
GA total619255611
GA avg0.92.71.80.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarneseFidelis Andria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%79%64%
1.536%50%29%14%
2.521%21%14%0%
3.57%14%7%0%
4.57%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarneseFidelis Andria
HATHAT
Clean sheets202325
Failed to score303123

Penalties

MetricSarneseFidelis Andria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSarneseFidelis Andria
Wins22
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-34-10-1
Biggest losses1-25-11-22-1
Goals For6341
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricSarneseFidelis Andria
Form38%62%
Att69%31%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fidelis Andria

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Betano
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away2.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.78 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarnese = 0.88 (league 1.43), Fidelis Andria = 0.65 (league 0.97)

Fidelis Andria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarnese 0 21.6% 14.1% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.4% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 25.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1