Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Felice Squitieri
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.49) 0.66 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.4% 36.4% 26.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.3%
1 - 0
18.9%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Fidelis Andria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarnese 0 22.3% 14.6% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarneseFidelis Andria
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack100%83%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarnese Fidelis Andria
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%71%14%43%
Draws43%29%36%14%57%36%
Loses29%57%43%14%29%21%

Form: Sarnese: DWWLLLDLDLLDWD • Fidelis Andria: WDWDWLWLDDWWDL

League goals

Metric Sarnese Fidelis Andria
HATHAT
GF total10122213518
GF avg1.41.71.61.90.71.3
GA total619255611
GA avg0.92.71.80.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarneseFidelis Andria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%79%64%
1.536%50%29%14%
2.521%21%14%0%
3.57%14%7%0%
4.57%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarneseFidelis Andria
HATHAT
Clean sheets202325
Failed to score303123

Penalties

MetricSarneseFidelis Andria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSarneseFidelis Andria
Wins22
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-34-10-1
Biggest losses1-25-11-22-1
Goals For6341
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricSarneseFidelis Andria
Form38%62%
Att69%31%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fidelis Andria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarnese = 0.85 (league 1.49), Fidelis Andria = 0.66 (league 0.96)

Fidelis Andria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarnese 0 22.3% 14.6% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.4% · Draw 36.4% · Away win 26.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1