Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Miramare
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.40)
1.03 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.0% | 28.7% | 31.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manfredonia | 0 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manfredonia | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 73% |
| Attack | 33% | 100% |
| Defense | 67% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manfredonia | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 43% | 14% | 29% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 43% | 36% |
| Loses | 29% | 57% | 43% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Form: Manfredonia: LLDWLLWWDLDDWL • Nardò: LLDWLDWLDWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Manfredonia | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manfredonia | Nardò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 57% | 71% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 29% | 29% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 14% | 29% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manfredonia | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manfredonia | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manfredonia | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manfredonia | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 14% | 86% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Manfredonia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manfredonia = 1.21 (league 1.40), Nardò = 1.03 (league 0.96)
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manfredonia | 0 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.0% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 31.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1