Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.43) 1.82 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 23.0% 48.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Francavilla 0 4.4% 8.0% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
1 5.8% 10.4% 9.5% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.8% 6.8% 6.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.6% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrancavillaVirtus Francavilla
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack67%100%
Defense17%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%29%29%29%
Draws43%43%43%43%29%36%
Loses29%43%36%29%43%36%

Form: Francavilla: WDWDLLLDDLDWDL • Virtus Francavilla: DWDLWDLDLLWLDW

League goals

Metric Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
HATHAT
GF total831181119
GF avg1.10.40.81.11.61.4
GA total851361218
GA avg1.10.70.90.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrancavillaVirtus Francavilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%57%64%79%
1.521%21%43%36%
2.57%14%14%14%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrancavillaVirtus Francavilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets246213
Failed to score257325

Penalties

MetricFrancavillaVirtus Francavilla
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricFrancavillaVirtus Francavilla
Wins11
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-02-5
Biggest losses1-33-20-13-0
Goals For3235
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricFrancavillaVirtus Francavilla
Form42%58%
Att36%64%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h13%88%
Goals27%73%
Total36.5%63.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus Francavilla

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Marathonbet
Away2.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.78 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Francavilla = 1.31 (league 1.43), Virtus Francavilla = 1.82 (league 0.97)

Virtus Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Francavilla 0 4.4% 8.0% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
1 5.8% 10.4% 9.5% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.8% 6.8% 6.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.6% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1