Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:30 •
Stadio Marcello Torre
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.49)
0.29 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.2% | 35.3% | 10.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.5%
0 - 0
26.7%
2 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Gravina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paganese | 0 | 26.7% | 7.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.5% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paganese | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paganese | Gravina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 57% | 57% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 43% | 14% | 29% |
| Loses | 14% | 29% | 21% | 14% | 57% | 36% |
Form: Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWWDWL • Gravina: LLDDLWWDWWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Paganese | Gravina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paganese | Gravina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 7% | 21% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paganese | Gravina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paganese | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paganese | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paganese | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Paganese or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paganese = 1.03 (league 1.49), Gravina = 0.29 (league 0.96)
| Gravina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paganese | 0 | 26.7% | 7.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.5% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 10.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1