Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.42) 2.31 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.3% 19.5% 41.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 2
6.8%
2 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sarnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Francavilla 0 1.2% 2.8% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.6% 5.9% 6.8% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.3% 5.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
4 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrancavillaSarnese
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack27%100%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Francavilla Sarnese
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins25%14%20%38%14%27%
Draws38%43%40%38%29%33%
Loses38%43%40%25%57%40%

Form: Francavilla: WDWDLLLDDLDWDLL • Sarnese: DWWLLLDLDLLDWDW

League goals

Metric Francavilla Sarnese
HATHAT
GF total9312121224
GF avg1.10.40.81.51.71.6
GA total1051571926
GA avg1.30.71.00.92.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrancavillaSarnese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%60%80%87%
1.520%27%40%47%
2.57%13%20%20%
3.50%0%7%13%
4.50%0%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrancavillaSarnese
HATHAT
Clean sheets246202
Failed to score257303

Penalties

MetricFrancavillaSarnese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFrancavillaSarnese
Wins12
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-16-12-3
Biggest losses1-33-21-25-1
Goals For3263
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricFrancavillaSarnese
Form38%62%
Att20%80%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.8%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sarnese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Marathonbet
Away2.47 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.88 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Francavilla = 2.10 (league 1.42), Sarnese = 2.31 (league 0.96)

Sarnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Francavilla 0 1.2% 2.8% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.6% 5.9% 6.8% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.3% 5.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
4 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 41.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1