Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.43) 1.30 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 21.9% 25.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Afragolese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gravina 0 3.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.5% 9.8% 6.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGravinaAfragolese
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack27%45%
Defense45%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gravina Afragolese
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins43%25%33%86%25%53%
Draws43%13%27%0%38%20%
Loses14%63%40%14%38%27%

Form: Gravina: LLDDLWWDWWLDLWL • Afragolese: LLDWWWLWWWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Gravina Afragolese
HATHAT
GF total14519141125
GF avg2.00.61.32.01.41.7
GA total6131981119
GA avg0.91.61.31.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGravinaAfragolese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%80%67%
1.520%27%53%47%
2.520%20%27%13%
3.513%7%7%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGravinaAfragolese
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score235033

Penalties

MetricGravinaAfragolese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGravinaAfragolese
Wins23
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-12-00-4
Biggest losses1-24-12-33-0
Goals For5134
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricGravinaAfragolese
Form33%67%
Att38%63%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total53.3%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Gravina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away2.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gravina = 1.96 (league 1.43), Afragolese = 1.30 (league 0.97)

Afragolese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gravina 0 3.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.5% 9.8% 6.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 25.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1