Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo Ferrandina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.43) 0.62 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.8% 45.2% 34.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.4%
0 - 1
21.9%
1 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Heraclea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferrandina 0 35.4% 21.9% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 9.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFerrandinaHeraclea
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack20%0%
Defense60%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.40 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ferrandina Heraclea
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%0%25%25%63%44%
Draws38%13%25%13%13%13%
Loses13%88%50%63%25%44%

Form: Ferrandina: LDLWLWLLWLDDDLWL • Heraclea: WWLDLWWWWDWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Ferrandina Heraclea
HATHAT
GF total83115813
GF avg1.00.40.70.61.00.8
GA total513189514
GA avg0.61.61.11.10.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFerrandinaHeraclea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%69%63%63%
1.519%31%13%19%
2.50%13%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFerrandinaHeraclea
HATHAT
Clean sheets415246
Failed to score268426

Penalties

MetricFerrandinaHeraclea
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricFerrandinaHeraclea
Wins14
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-11-32-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricFerrandinaHeraclea
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ferrandina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Superbet
Draw3.35 @ Superbet
Away2.47 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.78 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Superbet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ferrandina = 0.42 (league 1.43), Heraclea = 0.62 (league 0.97)

Heraclea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferrandina 0 35.4% 21.9% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 9.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 45.2% · Away win 34.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1