Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Luigi Moccia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.43) 0.45 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.5% 35.7% 16.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.8%
1 - 0
23.4%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afragolese 0 23.8% 10.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.4% 10.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAfragoleseFrancavilla
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack40%20%
Defense80%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Afragolese Francavilla
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins86%22%50%22%14%19%
Draws0%33%19%33%43%38%
Loses14%44%31%44%43%44%

Form: Afragolese: LLDWWWLWWWLWDWDL • Francavilla: WDWDLLLDDLDWDLLL

League goals

Metric Afragolese Francavilla
HATHAT
GF total1411259312
GF avg2.01.21.61.00.40.8
GA total8122014519
GA avg1.11.31.31.60.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAfragoleseFrancavilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%69%50%63%
1.550%44%19%31%
2.525%13%6%19%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAfragoleseFrancavilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets325246
Failed to score044358

Penalties

MetricAfragoleseFrancavilla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAfragoleseFrancavilla
Wins31
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-42-00-1
Biggest losses2-33-00-43-2
Goals For3432
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricAfragoleseFrancavilla
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h100%0%
Goals63%38%
Total68.6%31.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Afragolese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Afragolese = 0.98 (league 1.43), Francavilla = 0.45 (league 0.97)

Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Afragolese 0 23.8% 10.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.4% 10.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 16.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1