Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Marcello Torre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.43) 0.45 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.8% 45.9% 23.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.0%
1 - 0
20.4%
0 - 1
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Città di Fasano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 36.0% 16.4% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 9.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaganeseCittà di Fasano
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack30%40%
Defense80%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paganese Città di Fasano
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%63%63%50%38%44%
Draws25%13%19%25%50%38%
Loses13%25%19%25%13%19%

Form: Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWWDWLWW • Città di Fasano: WWWWDDWWDWDLDDLL

League goals

Metric Paganese Città di Fasano
HATHAT
GF total791613922
GF avg0.91.11.01.61.11.4
GA total3699716
GA avg0.40.80.61.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaganeseCittà di Fasano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%75%56%
1.519%6%50%31%
2.56%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaganeseCittà di Fasano
HATHAT
Clean sheets538347
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricPaganeseCittà di Fasano
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricPaganeseCittà di Fasano
Wins24
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-00-23-2
Goals For2332
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricPaganeseCittà di Fasano
Form83%17%
Att43%57%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Paganese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Unibet
Draw3.55 @ Superbet
Away3.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Superbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paganese = 0.57 (league 1.43), Città di Fasano = 0.45 (league 0.97)

Città di Fasano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 36.0% 16.4% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 9.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 45.9% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1