Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.40) 0.75 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.4% 21.3% 14.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Nola 1925
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gravina 0 7.0% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.1% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.1% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGravinaNola 1925
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack67%33%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gravina Nola 1925
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins50%22%35%50%33%41%
Draws38%11%24%25%22%24%
Loses13%67%41%25%44%35%

Form: Gravina: LLDDLWWDWWLDLWLWL • Nola 1925: WDDLWLLWDWWDWWLLL

League goals

Metric Gravina Nola 1925
HATHAT
GF total1572217825
GF avg1.90.81.32.10.91.5
GA total61622121325
GA avg0.81.81.31.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGravinaNola 1925
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%76%76%
1.524%29%41%41%
2.518%24%24%29%
3.512%6%6%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGravinaNola 1925
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricGravinaNola 1925
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total07

Streaks

MetricGravinaNola 1925
Wins22
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-14-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-11-33-0
Goals For5242
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricGravinaNola 1925
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Gravina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ 1xBet
Away2.58 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.89 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 1xBet
No2.13 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gravina = 1.90 (league 1.40), Nola 1925 = 0.75 (league 0.96)

Nola 1925
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gravina 0 7.0% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.1% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.1% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.4% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 14.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1