Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo Ferrandina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.40) 0.58 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 40.1% 26.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.5%
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Fidelis Andria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferrandina 0 27.5% 16.0% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 11.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFerrandinaFidelis Andria
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack44%33%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ferrandina Fidelis Andria
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins56%0%29%63%22%41%
Draws33%13%24%13%44%29%
Loses11%88%47%25%33%29%

Form: Ferrandina: LDLWLWLLWLDDDLWLW • Fidelis Andria: WDWDWLWLDDWWDLLLW

League goals

Metric Ferrandina Fidelis Andria
HATHAT
GF total1031313720
GF avg1.10.40.81.60.81.2
GA total613196814
GA avg0.71.61.10.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFerrandinaFidelis Andria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%71%76%65%
1.524%29%24%18%
2.50%12%12%0%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFerrandinaFidelis Andria
HATHAT
Clean sheets415336
Failed to score268224

Penalties

MetricFerrandinaFidelis Andria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFerrandinaFidelis Andria
Wins12
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-10-1
Biggest losses1-23-11-22-1
Goals For2241
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricFerrandinaFidelis Andria
Form64%36%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fidelis Andria and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Superbet
Draw3.14 @ Marathonbet
Away2.26 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ferrandina = 0.71 (league 1.40), Fidelis Andria = 0.58 (league 0.96)

Fidelis Andria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferrandina 0 27.5% 16.0% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 11.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 40.1% · Away win 26.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1