Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo Arcoleo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.40) 0.75 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 39.4% 35.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.7%
0 - 1
20.0%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ferrandina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Acerrana 0 26.7% 20.0% 7.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 11.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal AcerranaFerrandina
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack60%80%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Acerrana Ferrandina
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins13%0%6%50%0%28%
Draws25%30%28%40%13%28%
Loses63%70%67%10%88%44%

Form: Real Acerrana: LDDLDLLLLLLLLWDLLD • Ferrandina: LDLWLWLLWLDDDLWLWD

League goals

Metric Real Acerrana Ferrandina
HATHAT
GF total45910313
GF avg0.50.50.51.00.40.7
GA total14264061319
GA avg1.82.62.20.61.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal AcerranaFerrandina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%94%50%67%
1.56%44%22%28%
2.50%39%0%11%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal AcerranaFerrandina
HATHAT
Clean sheets101516
Failed to score5510369

Penalties

MetricReal AcerranaFerrandina
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricReal AcerranaFerrandina
Wins11
Draws23
Losses82

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-1—
Biggest losses0-46-11-23-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against4623

Model comparison

MetricReal AcerranaFerrandina
Form42%58%
Att43%57%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away2.50 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.76 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Acerrana = 0.57 (league 1.40), Ferrandina = 0.75 (league 0.96)

Ferrandina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Acerrana 0 26.7% 20.0% 7.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 11.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 39.4% · Away win 35.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1