Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Giovanni Paolo II
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.42) 0.75 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.5% 36.3% 31.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.7%
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 1
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
Manfredonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Francavilla 0 21.7% 16.3% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.7% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus FrancavillaManfredonia
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack100%80%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Francavilla Manfredonia
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins25%30%28%50%25%39%
Draws50%40%44%30%25%28%
Loses25%30%28%20%50%33%

Form: Virtus Francavilla: DWDLWDLDLLWLDWWDDD • Manfredonia: LLDWLLWWDLDDWLDWWW

League goals

Metric Virtus Francavilla Manfredonia
HATHAT
GF total9132212618
GF avg1.11.31.21.20.81.0
GA total713209817
GA avg0.91.31.10.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus FrancavillaManfredonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%72%61%50%
1.539%28%28%22%
2.511%11%6%11%
3.56%0%6%6%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus FrancavillaManfredonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets235639
Failed to score347347

Penalties

MetricVirtus FrancavillaManfredonia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricVirtus FrancavillaManfredonia
Wins22
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-54-21-2
Biggest losses0-13-02-53-2
Goals For3542
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricVirtus FrancavillaManfredonia
Form47%53%
Att56%44%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h88%13%
Goals80%20%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Virtus Francavilla or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.78 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Virtus Francavilla = 0.78 (league 1.42), Manfredonia = 0.75 (league 0.96)

Manfredonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Francavilla 0 21.7% 16.3% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.7% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.5% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 31.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1