Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 15:00 • Stadio Marcello Torre
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.40) 0.29 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 56.1% 17.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
50.1%
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Fidelis Andria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 50.1% 14.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.1% 5.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaganeseFidelis Andria
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack50%25%
Defense75%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paganese Fidelis Andria
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins50%67%58%56%20%37%
Draws30%11%21%22%50%37%
Loses20%22%21%22%30%26%

Form: Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWWDWLWWDLW • Fidelis Andria: WDWDWLWLDDWWDLLLWDD

League goals

Metric Paganese Fidelis Andria
HATHAT
GF total7111813720
GF avg0.71.20.91.40.71.1
GA total47116814
GA avg0.40.80.60.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaganeseFidelis Andria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%53%68%58%
1.521%5%21%16%
2.55%0%11%0%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaganeseFidelis Andria
HATHAT
Clean sheets639448
Failed to score426336

Penalties

MetricPaganeseFidelis Andria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPaganeseFidelis Andria
Wins22
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-10-1
Biggest losses0-12-01-22-1
Goals For2341
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricPaganeseFidelis Andria
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Paganese or draw and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ 1xBet
Away3.09 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 1xBet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Paganese = 0.40 (league 1.40), Fidelis Andria = 0.29 (league 0.96)

Fidelis Andria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 50.1% 14.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.1% 5.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 56.1% · Away win 17.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1