Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Paolo II
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.40)
0.50 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.5% | 38.1% | 20.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.9%
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Normanna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nardò | 0 | 25.9% | 12.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nardò | Real Normanna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 73% |
| Defense | 73% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nardò | Real Normanna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 44% | 27% | 35% | 36% | 11% | 25% |
| Draws | 33% | 55% | 45% | 36% | 56% | 45% |
| Loses | 22% | 18% | 20% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
Form: Nardò: LLDWLDWLDWDWWDDWDWDD • Real Normanna: LDDLLWDDDWDLLDDWWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Nardò | Real Normanna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nardò | Real Normanna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nardò | Real Normanna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nardò | Real Normanna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nardò | Real Normanna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nardò | Real Normanna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nardò or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nardò = 0.85 (league 1.40), Real Normanna = 0.50 (league 0.96)
| Real Normanna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nardò | 0 | 25.9% | 12.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 20.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1