Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 14:30 •
Campo Sportivo Arcoleo
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.40)
2.00 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.4% | 17.4% | 75.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.2%
0 - 2
19.2%
0 - 3
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Paganese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Acerrana | 0 | 9.6% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 18% | 36% |
| Defense | 27% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 22% | 0% | 10% | 55% | 67% | 60% |
| Draws | 22% | 27% | 25% | 27% | 11% | 20% |
| Loses | 56% | 73% | 65% | 18% | 22% | 20% |
Form: Real Acerrana: LDDLDLLLLLLLLWDLLDWL • Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWWDWLWWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 28 | 42 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Acerrana | Paganese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 90% | 70% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 5% | 45% | 20% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 35% | 5% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 30% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 24.3% | 75.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Paganese and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Acerrana = 0.34 (league 1.40), Paganese = 2.00 (league 0.96)
| Paganese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Acerrana | 0 | 9.6% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.4% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 75.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1