Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:30 • Stadio Marcello Torre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.41) 0.25 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.9% 59.9% 16.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
55.0%
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 55.0% 13.7% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.2% 4.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaganeseFrancavilla
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack44%56%
Defense78%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paganese Francavilla
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins55%70%62%27%30%29%
Draws27%10%19%27%30%29%
Loses18%20%19%45%40%43%

Form: Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWWDWLWWDLWWW • Francavilla: WDWDLLLDDLDWDLLLWLWWL

League goals

Metric Paganese Francavilla
HATHAT
GF total8122011617
GF avg0.71.21.01.00.60.8
GA total471115722
GA avg0.40.70.51.40.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaganeseFrancavilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%48%52%62%
1.519%5%24%24%
2.55%0%5%14%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaganeseFrancavilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411358
Failed to score4264610

Penalties

MetricPaganeseFrancavilla
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricPaganeseFrancavilla
Wins22
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-00-43-2
Goals For2332
Goals Against1243

Model comparison

MetricPaganeseFrancavilla
Form53%47%
Att44%56%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Paganese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ 10Bet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away7.65 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.69 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.87 @ Superbet
No1.48 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paganese = 0.35 (league 1.41), Francavilla = 0.25 (league 0.96)

Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 55.0% 13.7% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.2% 4.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.9% · Draw 59.9% · Away win 16.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1