Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Gian Domenico Tursi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.42) 1.51 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 20.6% 26.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sarnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Martina Franca 0 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.5% 8.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMartina FrancaSarnese
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack70%40%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Martina Franca Sarnese
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins55%40%48%27%20%24%
Draws27%30%29%45%30%38%
Loses18%30%24%27%50%38%

Form: Martina Franca: WWDDWWLWLDLLWDWWWDDLW • Sarnese: DWWLLLDLDLLDWDWWDDLLD

League goals

Metric Martina Franca Sarnese
HATHAT
GF total15823141832
GF avg1.40.81.11.31.81.5
GA total9716102232
GA avg0.80.70.80.92.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMartina FrancaSarnese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%57%76%76%
1.529%10%38%43%
2.514%5%19%19%
3.50%5%10%10%
4.50%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMartina FrancaSarnese
HATHAT
Clean sheets639325
Failed to score347415

Penalties

MetricMartina FrancaSarnese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMartina FrancaSarnese
Wins32
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-26-10-4
Biggest losses0-41-01-25-1
Goals For3264
Goals Against4125

Model comparison

MetricMartina FrancaSarnese
Form73%27%
Att64%36%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Martina Franca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Martina Franca = 2.17 (league 1.42), Sarnese = 1.51 (league 0.96)

Sarnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Martina Franca 0 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.5% 8.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 26.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1