Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Vittorio Papa
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.42)
1.41 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.6% | 24.8% | 35.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nola 1925 | 0 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nola 1925 | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 31% | 38% |
| Defense | 54% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nola 1925 | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 40% | 36% | 38% | 50% | 27% | 38% |
| Draws | 30% | 27% | 29% | 30% | 55% | 43% |
| Loses | 30% | 36% | 33% | 20% | 18% | 19% |
Form: Nola 1925: WDDLWLLWDWWDWWLLLWDDL • Nardò: LLDWLDWLDWDWWDDWDWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Nola 1925 | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 10 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 15 | 13 | 28 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nola 1925 | Nardò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 71% | 76% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 24% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 24% | 19% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nola 1925 | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nola 1925 | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nola 1925 | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nola 1925 | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Nola 1925 or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nola 1925 = 1.47 (league 1.42), Nardò = 1.41 (league 0.96)
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nola 1925 | 0 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 35.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1