Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.42) 1.88 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.3% 20.6% 67.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 3
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heraclea 0 8.7% 16.3% 15.3% 9.6% 4.5% 1.7%
1 4.9% 9.2% 8.7% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
2 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeracleaVirtus Francavilla
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack27%33%
Defense73%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heraclea Virtus Francavilla
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins25%46%36%25%38%32%
Draws25%15%20%42%38%40%
Loses50%38%44%33%23%28%

Form: Heraclea: WWLDLWWWWDWLLLLLLWLLDLDWD • Virtus Francavilla: DWDLWDLDLLWLDWWDDDWWDDLWL

League goals

Metric Heraclea Virtus Francavilla
HATHAT
GF total101121132033
GF avg0.80.80.81.11.51.3
GA total14923121325
GA avg1.20.70.91.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeracleaVirtus Francavilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%60%64%
1.516%24%44%28%
2.54%4%16%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeracleaVirtus Francavilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets369369
Failed to score4595510

Penalties

MetricHeracleaVirtus Francavilla
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricHeracleaVirtus Francavilla
Wins42
Draws13
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-00-4
Biggest losses1-32-00-23-0
Goals For2335
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricHeracleaVirtus Francavilla
Form55%45%
Att44%56%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total45.3%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : Heraclea or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Betano
Draw2.98 @ Marathonbet
Away2.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.63 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 1xBet
No1.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heraclea = 0.56 (league 1.42), Virtus Francavilla = 1.88 (league 0.96)

Virtus Francavilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heraclea 0 8.7% 16.3% 15.3% 9.6% 4.5% 1.7%
1 4.9% 9.2% 8.7% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
2 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.3% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 67.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1