Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Comunale Vito Curlo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.60 (league 1.42) 1.78 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 18.4% 25.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
6.7%
3 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sarnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Città di Fasano 0 1.3% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.3% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.2% 7.5% 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.4% 4.2% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCittà di FasanoSarnese
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack20%33%
Defense40%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Città di Fasano Sarnese
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%38%48%31%17%24%
Draws17%38%28%46%33%40%
Loses25%23%24%23%50%36%

Form: Città di Fasano: WWWWDDWWDWDLDDLLDWWWWWLLL • Sarnese: DWWLLLDLDLLDWDWWDDLLDLWDD

League goals

Metric Città di Fasano Sarnese
HATHAT
GF total191433162036
GF avg1.61.11.31.21.71.4
GA total121527112738
GA avg1.01.21.10.82.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCittà di FasanoSarnese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%56%76%76%
1.544%36%36%44%
2.516%16%16%20%
3.54%0%8%8%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCittà di FasanoSarnese
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511426
Failed to score358426

Penalties

MetricCittà di FasanoSarnese
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricCittà di FasanoSarnese
Wins52
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-36-10-4
Biggest losses0-33-01-25-1
Goals For4364
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricCittà di FasanoSarnese
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.0%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Città di Fasano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.52 @ Marathonbet
Away4.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Città di Fasano = 2.60 (league 1.42), Sarnese = 1.78 (league 0.96)

Sarnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Città di Fasano 0 1.3% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.3% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.2% 7.5% 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.4% 4.2% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 25.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1