Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Gian Domenico Tursi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.42) 0.38 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.5% 18.8% 6.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
18.5%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ferrandina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Martina Franca 0 10.1% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 7.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.5% 7.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMartina FrancaFerrandina
Played55
Form100%27%
Attack100%23%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Martina Franca Ferrandina
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins62%50%56%46%0%24%
Draws23%25%24%31%17%24%
Loses15%25%20%23%83%52%

Form: Martina Franca: WWDDWWLWLDLLWDWWWDDLWWWWW • Ferrandina: LDLWLWLLWLDDDLWLWDLLDWLLL

League goals

Metric Martina Franca Ferrandina
HATHAT
GF total22123411516
GF avg1.71.01.40.80.40.6
GA total1282091928
GA avg0.90.70.80.71.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMartina FrancaFerrandina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%56%44%72%
1.540%12%20%32%
2.520%8%0%8%
3.54%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMartina FrancaFerrandina
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411617
Failed to score3475914

Penalties

MetricMartina FrancaFerrandina
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMartina FrancaFerrandina
Wins31
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-1—
Biggest losses0-41-00-23-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against4123

Model comparison

MetricMartina FrancaFerrandina
Form79%21%
Att81%19%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total75.5%24.5%

Advice: Winner : Martina Franca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw3.92 @ Marathonbet
Away8.95 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ Marathonbet
No1.52 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Martina Franca = 1.92 (league 1.42), Ferrandina = 0.38 (league 0.96)

Ferrandina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Martina Franca 0 10.1% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 7.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.5% 7.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.5% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 6.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1