Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Marcello Torre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.42) 0.68 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 44.9% 38.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.1%
0 - 1
24.6%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Barletta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 36.1% 24.6% 8.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.2% 8.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaganeseBarletta
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack46%85%
Defense69%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.80 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paganese Barletta
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins54%67%60%54%50%52%
Draws23%17%20%38%33%36%
Loses23%17%20%8%17%12%

Form: Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWWDWLWWDLWWWLWWD • Barletta: DDLDWWWLDDWWLDWWDDDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Paganese Barletta
HATHAT
GF total101525201636
GF avg0.81.31.01.51.31.4
GA total78156713
GA avg0.50.70.60.50.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaganeseBarletta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%48%76%28%
1.520%8%40%20%
2.54%4%20%4%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaganeseBarletta
HATHAT
Clean sheets85139918
Failed to score426336

Penalties

MetricPaganeseBarletta
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricPaganeseBarletta
Wins33
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-00-4
Biggest losses1-32-01-23-2
Goals For2344
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricPaganeseBarletta
Form40%60%
Att35%65%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h88%13%
Goals75%25%
Total54.2%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Barletta and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away3.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.52 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ William Hill
No1.63 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paganese = 0.34 (league 1.42), Barletta = 0.68 (league 0.96)

Barletta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paganese 0 36.1% 24.6% 8.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.2% 8.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 44.9% · Away win 38.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1