Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Paolo II
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.42)
0.38 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | 35.3% | 13.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.2%
0 - 0
24.8%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Fidelis Andria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nardò | 0 | 24.8% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nardò | Fidelis Andria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 77% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nardò | Fidelis Andria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 50% | 23% | 36% | 58% | 15% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 54% | 44% | 17% | 38% | 28% |
| Loses | 17% | 23% | 20% | 25% | 46% | 36% |
Form: Nardò: LLDWLDWLDWDWWDDWDWDDWLWDD • Fidelis Andria: WDWDWLWLDDWWDLLLWDDLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Nardò | Fidelis Andria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 11 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 15 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nardò | Fidelis Andria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 52% | 68% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 28% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nardò | Fidelis Andria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nardò | Fidelis Andria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nardò | Fidelis Andria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nardò | Fidelis Andria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nardò or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nardò = 1.02 (league 1.42), Fidelis Andria = 0.38 (league 0.96)
| Fidelis Andria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nardò | 0 | 24.8% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 13.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1