Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 •
Campo Sportivo Ferrandina
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.41)
0.87 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.6% | 35.7% | 37.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.1%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Afragolese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferrandina | 0 | 21.1% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ferrandina | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 9% | 64% |
| Defense | 45% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ferrandina | Afragolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 46% | 0% | 23% | 62% | 31% | 46% |
| Draws | 31% | 15% | 23% | 15% | 31% | 23% |
| Loses | 23% | 85% | 54% | 23% | 38% | 31% |
Form: Ferrandina: LDLWLWLLWLDDDLWLWDLLDWLLLL • Afragolese: LLDWWWLWWWLWDWDLLLWDWWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Ferrandina | Afragolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 16 | 39 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 9 | 20 | 29 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ferrandina | Afragolese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 42% | 73% | 73% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 31% | 46% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 8% | 19% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ferrandina | Afragolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ferrandina | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ferrandina | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 5-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ferrandina | Afragolese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 13% | 88% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Afragolese and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 1xBet
Away2.09 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ferrandina = 0.68 (league 1.41), Afragolese = 0.87 (league 0.96)
| Afragolese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferrandina | 0 | 21.1% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 37.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1