Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:30 •
Stadio Felice Squitieri
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.42)
0.66 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.5% | 27.0% | 17.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
12.7%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gravina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarnese | 0 | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sarnese | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 100% |
| Attack | 63% | 88% |
| Defense | 0% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sarnese | Gravina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 31% | 15% | 23% | 54% | 31% | 42% |
| Draws | 46% | 31% | 38% | 31% | 15% | 23% |
| Loses | 23% | 54% | 38% | 15% | 54% | 35% |
Form: Sarnese: DWWLLLDLDLLDWDWWDDLLDLWDDL • Gravina: LLDDLWWDWWLDLWLWLLLDDWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Sarnese | Gravina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 21 | 37 | 22 | 11 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 29 | 40 | 11 | 22 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sarnese | Gravina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 77% | 73% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 46% | 31% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 19% | 12% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sarnese | Gravina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sarnese | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sarnese | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sarnese | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 11% | 89% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 32.8% | 67.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Gravina
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw3.35 @ 1xBet
Away2.94 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sarnese = 1.44 (league 1.42), Gravina = 0.66 (league 0.97)
| Gravina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarnese | 0 | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 17.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1