Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:30 •
Stadio Degli Ulivi
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.42)
0.59 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.1% | 40.4% | 26.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.9%
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 1
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Heraclea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fidelis Andria | 0 | 27.9% | 16.3% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 25% |
| Defense | 50% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 58% | 14% | 35% | 23% | 46% | 35% |
| Draws | 17% | 36% | 27% | 23% | 15% | 19% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 54% | 38% | 46% |
Form: Fidelis Andria: WDWDWLWLDDWWDLLLWDDLLLWLWL • Heraclea: WWLDLWWWWDWLLLLLLWLLDLDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 10 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fidelis Andria | Heraclea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 62% | 65% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 23% | 15% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 4% | 4% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Heraclea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Heraclea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Fidelis Andria or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.93 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.84 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.13 @ 1xBet
No1.68 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fidelis Andria = 0.69 (league 1.42), Heraclea = 0.59 (league 0.96)
| Heraclea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fidelis Andria | 0 | 27.9% | 16.3% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% · Draw 40.4% · Away win 26.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
