Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:30 •
Stadio Miramare
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.42)
1.09 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.0% | 32.7% | 47.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.2%
0 - 0
18.6%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Paganese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manfredonia | 0 | 18.6% | 20.2% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manfredonia | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 42% |
| Defense | 17% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manfredonia | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 46% | 15% | 31% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
| Draws | 38% | 23% | 31% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
| Loses | 15% | 62% | 38% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
Form: Manfredonia: LLDWLLWWDLDDWLDWWWLDDLDLWL • Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWWDWLWWDLWWWLWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Manfredonia | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 10 | 20 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manfredonia | Paganese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 58% | 73% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 27% | 19% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 15% | 4% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 12% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manfredonia | Paganese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manfredonia | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manfredonia | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manfredonia | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Paganese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ 1xBet
Away2.04 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manfredonia = 0.59 (league 1.42), Paganese = 1.09 (league 0.96)
| Paganese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manfredonia | 0 | 18.6% | 20.2% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 47.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1