Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 •
Campo Sportivo Arcoleo
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.42)
1.24 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.2% | 29.8% | 49.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.2%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Acerrana | 0 | 14.7% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 58% |
| Defense | 17% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 12% | 54% | 23% | 38% |
| Draws | 17% | 21% | 19% | 31% | 54% | 42% |
| Loses | 58% | 79% | 69% | 15% | 23% | 19% |
Form: Real Acerrana: LDDLDLLLLLLLLWDLLDWLLLLLWL • Nardò: LLDWLDWLDWDWWDDWDWDDWLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 11 | 33 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 18 | 35 | 53 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Acerrana | Nardò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 42% | 92% | 73% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 31% | 23% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 27% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Nardò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | — | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Acerrana | Nardò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 33.7% | 66.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nardò
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Acerrana = 0.68 (league 1.42), Nardò = 1.24 (league 0.97)
| Nardò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Acerrana | 0 | 14.7% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.2% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 49.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1