Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Giovanni Paolo II
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.42)
1.04 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.2% | 29.7% | 34.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Nola 1925 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Francavilla | 0 | 11.9% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 75% |
| Defense | 67% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Nola 1925 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 25% | 43% | 35% | 46% | 31% | 38% |
| Draws | 42% | 36% | 38% | 23% | 31% | 27% |
| Loses | 33% | 21% | 27% | 31% | 38% | 35% |
Form: Virtus Francavilla: DWDLWDLDLLWLDWWDDDWWDDLWLW • Nola 1925: WDDLWLLWDWWDWWLLLWDDLWDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Nola 1925 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 13 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Virtus Francavilla | Nola 1925 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 65% | 81% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 27% | 42% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 8% | 19% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Nola 1925 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 10 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 10 |
Streaks
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 50.6% | 49.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nola 1925
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.12 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.06 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.88 @ 1xBet
No1.92 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Virtus Francavilla = 1.09 (league 1.42), Nola 1925 = 1.04 (league 0.96)
| Nola 1925 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Francavilla | 0 | 11.9% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 34.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1