Ferrandina vs Paganese

Serie D - Girone H — Italy

Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo Ferrandina

Match Finished

Ferrandina

1 - 1

Paganese

Expected Goals

0.51 (league 1.41) 0.88 (league 0.96)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
20.3%	37.5%	42.2%

best score tips

0 - 0

25.0%

0 - 1

21.9%

1 - 0

12.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Paganese
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Ferrandina	0	25.0%	21.9%	9.6%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	12.8%	11.2%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	3.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Ferrandina	Paganese
Played	5	5
Form	7%	47%
Attack	18%	55%
Defense	18%	27%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%

FT probability

2.5+

36%

FT probability

3.5+

26%

FT probability

BTTS

59%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Ferrandina			Paganese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	14	28	15	13	28
Wins	43%	0%	21%	53%	62%	57%
Draws	36%	14%	25%	20%	15%	18%
Loses	21%	86%	54%	27%	23%	25%

Form: Ferrandina: LDLWLWLLWLDDDLWLWDLLDWLLLLDL • Paganese: WLLWWDWWDWWDWLWWDLWWWLWWDLLW

League goals

Metric	Ferrandina			Paganese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	12	6	18	13	16	29
GF avg	0.9	0.4	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.0
GA total	10	23	33	11	11	22
GA avg	0.7	1.6	1.2	0.7	0.8	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Ferrandina		Paganese
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	46%	75%	75%	54%
1.5	18%	32%	21%	18%
2.5	0%	11%	7%	7%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Ferrandina			Paganese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	1	7	8	5	13
Failed to score	5	10	15	5	2	7

Penalties

Metric	Ferrandina	Paganese
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	Ferrandina	Paganese
Wins	1	3
Draws	3	1
Losses	4	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	—	3-2	1-3
Biggest losses	0-2	3-1	1-3	3-1
Goals For	2	2	3	3
Goals Against	2	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Ferrandina	Paganese
Form	13%	88%
Att	25%	75%
Def	47%	53%
Poisson Distribution	39%	61%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	34.8%	65.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paganese

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.40 @ Dafabet

Draw3.45 @ Dafabet

Away1.72 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betano

Under 2.51.57 @ Betano

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Betano Updated: 2026-03-29T00:01:19+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.35
Draw	3.35
Away	1.72

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	3.00
Away	1.29

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.45
Draw	2.37
Away	2.07

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home +0.75	1.72
Away +0.75	1.88

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.25	1.87
Under 2.25	1.78
Over 2.5	2.10
Under 2.5	1.57

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.45
Under 0.5	2.27
Over 0.75	1.62
Under 0.75	1.95

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.00
Home/Away	27.00
Draw/Away	4.15
Draw/Draw	4.65
Home/Home	7.60
Draw/Home	9.00
Away/Home	55.00
Away/Draw	16.00
Away/Away	2.72

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	7.70
2:0	16.00
2:1	11.00
3:0	45.00
3:1	30.00
3:2	37.00
4:0	150.00
4:1	110.00
0:0	7.90
1:1	5.30
2:2	13.00
0:1	4.55
0:2	5.60
0:3	9.50
1:2	6.50
1:3	11.25
2:3	22.00
3:3	60.00
0:4	20.00
1:4	24.00
2:4	50.00
4:2	120.00
0:5	55.00
0:6	150.00
1:5	60.00
1:6	175.00
2:5	120.00
2:6	350.00
3:4	150.00
4:3	200.00
3:5	350.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.05
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	2.02

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.30
2:0	15.00
2:1	19.50
3:0	70.00
3:1	90.00
3:2	200.00
0:0	2.27
1:1	5.70
2:2	40.00
0:1	2.72
0:2	6.00
0:3	17.50
1:2	12.50
1:3	37.00
2:3	120.00
0:4	65.00
1:4	120.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.90
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.18

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.85
Draw	2.00
Away	2.37

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home +0.25	1.75
Away +0.25	1.80

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.47
Home/Away	1.65
Draw/Away	1.16

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	2.62
Away	1.35

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	2.70
Away	1.33

Selection	Odds
Home	4.40
Draw	3.45
Away	1.72

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Ferrandina vs Paganese

Expected goals (λ): Ferrandina = 0.51 (league 1.41), Paganese = 0.88 (league 0.96)

		Paganese
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Ferrandina	0	25.0%	21.9%	9.6%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	12.8%	11.2%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	3.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 42.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Ferrandina	Paganese
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2