Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Vito Curlo
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.41)
0.42 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6% | 20.6% | 7.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.5%
2 - 0
17.7%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Ferrandina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Città di Fasano | 0 | 10.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 13% |
| Attack | 70% | 30% |
| Defense | 50% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Ferrandina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 64% | 40% | 52% | 40% | 0% | 21% |
| Draws | 14% | 40% | 28% | 40% | 14% | 28% |
| Loses | 21% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 86% | 52% |
Form: Città di Fasano: WWWWDDWWDWDLDDLLDWWWWWLLLWWWD • Ferrandina: LDLWLWLLWLDDDLWLWDLLDWLLLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Ferrandina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 17 | 40 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 11 | 23 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Città di Fasano | Ferrandina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 59% | 48% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 31% | 17% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Ferrandina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Città di Fasano | Ferrandina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 69.6% | 30.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Città di Fasano or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Città di Fasano = 1.81 (league 1.41), Ferrandina = 0.42 (league 0.96)
| Ferrandina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Città di Fasano | 0 | 10.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 7.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1